Rain systems weaken briefly but no let-up for West Coast, parts of UP and Bihar
The 24 hours ending Thursday morning saw heavy to very heavy rains with very heavy rains falling over parts of West Coast, Northwest India, East and Northeast India, West and Central India as well as the Southern Peninsula even with rain. The vulnerability of driving systems, an update from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) indicated.
Heavy to very heavy rain
Heavy to very heavy rains with heavy precipitation have been reported from Konkan & Goa. At the same time, it is very heavy over the plains and hills of West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Meghalaya, Madhya Maharashtra, West Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat and heavy over Uttarakhand, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Tripura, Kerala and coastal Karnataka.
rain bearing systems
The main rain-bearing system over northern India in the form of the east-west basin of northwest Rajasthan remains but its eastern end is not submerged into the Bay of Bengal. Instead, it lay in rugged Nagaland, depriving itself of direct moisture nourishment from the waters of the bay. To the west, the trough lies offshore from Maharashtra to Kerala. The line-up from southern Gujarat to Kerala indicates active monsoon conditions, which was the case until Wednesday.
Continues ‘low’ over MP North
Another atmospheric feature that oversees precipitation is the area of low pressure over the central parts of northern Madhya Pradesh. It lies in the lower part to the east and west and efficiently deals with the feeding of moisture from the Gulf in the east and the Arabian Sea in the west. The “low” will continue to run away using available remaining moisture in the atmosphere, but it could be strengthened by a cycle likely to form in Visakhapatnam Bay in the next few days.
More precipitation forecast
Weakness with rain regimes will not prevent these ripening monsoons from being at their best locally along the western coast and adjacent ghats, and the Himalayan foothills along Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, except in the northeastern states and parts of the southern peninsula.
The IMD predicted widespread light to moderate light to widespread rain for northwest India over the next three days. Isolated heavy rains are likely over eastern Rajasthan through Monday and over Uttarakhand and western Rajasthan on Friday. Over central India, it will be light to moderate to somewhat widespread to widely isolated heavy to very heavy falls over Madhya Pradesh for two days.
Heavy rain for Konkan, Goa
For western India, light to moderate to somewhat scattered rain with heavy to very heavy rain is likely over Konkan, Goa and Ghat regions of Madhya Maharashtra over the next five days and Gujarat over the next two days. In the east, it is expected to spread to somewhat light to moderate rains with heavy to very heavy precipitation for the hills of West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Meghalaya and Arunachal Pradesh over the next five days. It will be severely isolated over the plains if it is West Bengal on Friday, and Bihar on Friday and Monday.
Coastal Karnataka, Kerala
In the south, light to moderate to widespread rain is observed largely in Kerala, Mahe, coastal Karnataka and southern inland over the next five days. It will be severely isolated over the coasts of Karnataka and Kerala during this period; over the coast of Andhra Pradesh on Sunday and Monday; And over the southern interior of Karnataka and Tamil Nadu on Monday. Isolated heavy rains are likely on the coast of Karnataka and Kerala on Monday.