Rain deficit drops to 28% as first monsoon ‘low’ forms over Odisha

The rainfall deficit for the country as a whole was reduced by five percentage points to 28 percent over the weekend, but large individual deficits of more than 60 percent were created along the entire western coast, Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, parts of neighboring peninsular India as well as central India. and East India Monday morning, a Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) update indicated.

He has faith

This is despite a giant leap of faith Monsoon winds cover most of the land area, early at least in parts of northwest India. This came during the preparation for the formation of the low pressure area, the first of the season, which lies over northern Odisha. It is expected to travel through the worst moisture-stressed areas in the east and adjacent east and central India over the next couple of days.

moisture in the Arabian Sea

The “low” will increasingly attract moisture from the Arabian Sea, causing lower precipitation along parts of the west coast and neighboring peninsular India as well. However, its trajectory needs to be watched since any move towards the Himalayan foothills of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar is fraught with the risk of causing a ‘break monsoon’ when the rains are confined to the adjoining hillsides and plains and parts of north-eastern India and along the east coast ( including Tamil Nadu).

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“low” track

This may exacerbate the lack of rain in the rest of the country. But if the ‘depression’ is to trace a favorable west-northwest monsoon course into the core monsoon region of central and northwest India as is usual, it will ensure fuller monsoon conditions for the region and eliminate the ‘depression’ to Rajasthan and beyond (across the border to Pakistan).

Monsoon advances

On Monday morning, the “low” is located above the ground over northern Odisha and IMD expects it to move toward northern Madhya Pradesh through Jharkand and northern Chhattisgarh over the next two days. The east-west basin extends from northern Punjab to northwest Bay of Bengal through Haryana, southern Uttar Pradesh, northeastern Madhya Pradesh, northern Chhattisgarh, and northern Odisha. What is left to be covered by the monsoons is only the whole of Gujarat, Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, and the extreme western parts of Jammu and Kashmir. The normal schedule to cover the entire landmass is July 8.