IMD predicts heavy rain for Kerala, North-East as monsoon gets underway

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On the day after the onset of the monsoon, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) predicted heavy to very heavy rain at monsoon gateway stations in southwest and northeastern India in isolated places Kerala, Mahe, Lakshadweep, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura as well as the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and Meghalaya .

heat wave conditions

The heat wave led to extreme heat wave conditions in places not far from the northeast monsoon gateway to parts of Bihar and isolated pockets over Uttar Pradesh, Odisha, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Telangana.

Land heating has been below par so far this summer, which, under normal circumstances, might not bode well for the strength and progression of the monsoons.

Biparjoy slows down

A very dangerous lead hurricane pepperjoy It managed to move over the warm waters of the Arabian Sea and on Friday morning was 820 km west of Goa. 840 km west-south-west of Mumbai; 850 km south-southwest of Porbandar; and 1140 km south of Karachi in Pakistan.

It will intensify further over the next two days and the wobbling motion will take it to the north-northeast only to return to a north-northwest direction over the next three days.

Warning of strong winds

The IMD has warned of strong winds, with a speed of 145-155 km / h, and its speed may reach 170 km / h over the central Arabian Sea. Strong winds (50 to 60 km/h, gusts up to 70 km/h) are likely over the neighboring South Arabian Sea.

Severe weather (winds of 35-45 km/h gusts to 55 km/h likely along Goa-Maharashtra-Gujarat coasts and offshore; and at 35-45 km/h gusts to 55 km/h likely over Kerala-Karnataka Coasts and Lakshadweep District.

Strong flows over the bay

To the other side of the southern peninsula, the Bay of Bengal also witnessed enhanced monsoon activity with winds maintaining their strength for the past two days. A cyclonic circulation over the eastern central gulf off the coast of Myanmar was instrumental in anchoring these flows.

Global models indicate that its credentials are not convincing enough to power a low-pressure region due to its proximity to Earth. However, it was able to raise heavy clouds over the Gulf Basin.

Northern limit of the monsoon

The northern limit of the monsoon (the farthest point of the monsoon’s way-way) has yet to move beyond Thursday’s coordinates for Kannur, Kodaikanal, Adhirampatinam and parts of northeastern India.

IMD assesses favorable conditions for its entry into more parts of the central Arabian Sea, the remainder of Kerala, and other parts of Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, the Gulf, and the northeastern states.