Deficit shrinks to 19% as rain belt prepares to move towards North India

Posted on by

The rapid advance of the monsoon reduced 4 percent of the rain deficit for the country as a whole to 19 percent on Tuesday – 4 percent less than the day before – as the northern limit of the monsoon advances beyond Gujarat to enter more areas of Rajasthan.

Heavy to very heavy rain

The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said the northern boundary passed through Jodhpur, Sikar, Narnuel and Firozpur. On Monday, it had very heavy rain over Chhattisgarh while very heavy over Konkan, Goa, Odisha, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Gujarat and coastal Karnataka and heavy over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Mizoram and Himachal. Pradesh, West Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Rajasthan, West Bengal, Saurashtra, Kutch, and Madhya Maharashtra.

Deficit zones are shrinking

The areas with the worst rainfall deficits (over 60 percent) narrowed to just Kerala, Madhya Maharashtra, Maratwada and Bihar. It ranged from -20 percent to -49 percent over 16 meteorological subdivisions, but most of northwest and western India fell either in the normal range (-19 percent to +19 percent); Excess (+20 to +59%) or significant excess (+60% or more).

Low pressure zone rules

A rain-led area of ​​low pressure was located over northern Chhattisgarh on Tuesday, and the IMD expects it to move west-northwest toward northwest Madhya Pradesh over the next three days. The east-west basin ran from northwest Rajasthan to the northeastern Bay of Bengal while the marine basin stretched the entire length from south Gujarat to Kerala, representing active monsoon conditions.

Heavy rain in the north

IMD numerical model forecasts show ‘low’ travel across central and northwest India over the next five days and reach Delhi and the neighborhood by July 3. weaken. The western coast may also witness heavy rains during this phase, while they will be weak to moderate in the rest of the country.

Forecasts Up, Rajasthan

IMD has forecast heavy to very heavy rains in western and eastern Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Uttarakhand for the next five days. A similar pattern for many parts of central India, eastern and northeastern India, western coast and southern India has been predicted differently over this period.